Sunday 27 August 2017

Mosul, Tal Afar, then Hawija



Iraqi Army forces successfully liberated Mosul over a month ago, freeing one of the largest Iraqi cities from ISIS' grip. Since then they have moved north-west to the city of Tal Afar, and have mostly liberated it with help from Hashd Ash-Sha'abi.

Next in sight is Hawija, the southern half of Kirkuk province. After dealing diplomatically with the difficult Turkmen area of Tal Afar, dealing with Hawija, an area heavily mixed between Arabs and Kurds, should prove less of a challenge.

After Hawija, the last territorial presence for ISIS will be in western Anbar province. Unfortunately for the Iraqi Army, the Syrian Arab Army is annihilating ISIS in eastern Syria, so it is likely ISIS' Syrian remnants will regroup in western Anbar province.

The last ISIS battle in Anbar province is likely to be bloody and long. And even after all Iraqi territories are liberated, the threat of ISIS to Iraq should not be underestimated.